ELY, Nev. - We have seen very limited polling on the Nevada caucuses but all the results come to same conclusion: repeat of 2008's Romney blowout. Ok, that's believable about I find it hard to believe Newt Gingrich or Rick Santorum will place ahead of Ron Paul. Paul has been building an impressive organization here for years, I have seen it first hand on the ground in this state, while the other candidates not named Romney are just getting started.
Paul has poured extensive resources into organizing, not into media buys and that is what matters in a caucus state. It's a complicated process that requires getting voters to the polls, spending long hours in a room with your neighbors, and then voting. It's not a five minute process like voting in a booth. Paul's strong results in straw polls are a display of his organization's impressive ability to turn people out non-traditional voting events.
Plus, Paul has to place second here or his long term, go all the way to the convention, caucus strategy goes out the window. I find it hard to believe Paul will finished in a distant fourth place or weak third on Saturday.
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