Re: A (probably fruitless) appeal for reason
posted at 9/24/2010 11:02 AM EDT
In Response to Re: A (probably fruitless) appeal for reason
[QUOTE]In Response to A (probably fruitless) appeal for reason : I really don't understand what you are saying. As human beings we make judgements about everything we see. Look at a homeless personon the street and odds are that they don't own a Mercedes and live in Weston - this is NOT true 100% of the time, but its true in a majority of cases. Even has prejudices, everyone makes judgements, the intellectual part has to take over and rationalize your impression. Wins and losses, goals and assists, save percentage and number of hits don't count in the preseason. You can make judgements about players. I think you're saying 18 is too young to make a judgement? Show me a 14 year old and I'll have plenty to say about them, but there are only so many predictions you can make. At that age I would only say whether they could play D1 or junior hockey, and of course in a lot of cases you can see whether or not the kid has a prayer. How many points can we expect our of Seguin this season? Who knows? If I see performance and a trend in the right direction, I'm happy. My prediction is that he'll be great, don't know when. Caron, Colborne and Sauve will play in the NHL at some point or other, and they'll be decent at least. Alexandrov shows a spark to me, he could be pretty darn good. Kampfer and Bartkowski, I see them as 5 6 defensemen. I don't see anything out of this goalie crop. Predicting how many points a player will get in a coming season can only be stated in broad generalities. Same for teams. As we saw last year, teams that squeaked into the playoffs can go far. There is parity in this league and anyone can beat anyone.
Posted by BadHabitude[/QUOTE]
What I'm saying is the "Tyler Seguin will score 30 goals," or "Tyler Seguin will go back to Junior," or "Joe Colborne will never make it in the NHL," or "Yury Alexandrov will stick with the big club and Matt Hunwick is toast" are the sorts of pronouncments that drive me around the bend.
A few years back, on another internet board, I got into a huge argument with a couple of posters who were absolutely, rock-solid certain, after he'd played a total of two months in the majors, that Dustin Pedroia was a total bust and would never be anything more than a JAG (Just Another Guy). My response was that it was still early and let's wait a while before we judge.
Here's my point: We are clueless. We're looking at the Bruins right now through a keyhole. We see some preseason games, but not all. Two practices were open; the rest are coaches/media only. The media don't know, and don't tell us, everything that happens. We're not in meetings, we don't see the players receiving instruction and how they process/deal with it.
Sure, we can guess, and speculate, and chat about it. That's what forums like this are for, and it's fun. But I can't state emphatically what will happen to whomever. Just take one of your comments: "I don't see anything out of this goalie crop." I mean, exactly what do you base that pronoucement on? How much have you seen them? Do you know their work habits, their attitude, their coachability, their history? Have you observed them working with Bob Essena? Can you tell me what, exactly, will keep them from success?
Sure, we can make judgements based on what we observe. I can look at Alexandrov, for example, and see a talented young player, but a guy coming over from Russia who doesn't speak the language and is facing an adjustment period, and pretty much guess that he'll start this season in the AHL. But as to how good he's going to be, when (or if) he'll make it to the NHL, good grief, I don't know. And anyone who says they DO know is lying. Guessing right isn't knowing.