Re: Seguin/Peverley vs Eriksson/Smith
posted at 10/17/2013 1:09 PM EDT
In response to OatesCam's comment:
This summer the Bruins dealt Seguin in a controversal trade. I didn't like it and still don't, though I have a large amount of faith in the Bruins management to make good decisions. I also acknowledge that I had an emotional attachment to my favorite Bruin and had hoped to see his career explode with my favorite team. Further details such as the off ice issues of Seguin and the potential talent of Smith make the trade seem less awful, but it's still a controversal topic for me.
I thought it would be interesting to follow the players playing this year over the course of the season in an attempt to evaluate aspects of the trade. Of course there are other factors, such as the signing of Ignla, the cap, the two other prospects the Bruins received, team chemistry, all-around game of all players and so forth, and we can discuss them here, but I'm mainly focusing on Seguin, Peverley, Eriksson and Smith. As an initial look at what's happening so far, some stats:
GP G A Pts ATOI P/G P/Min Cap Hit $/Pts
Seguin 5 2 5 7 18:23 1.4 0.076378 5.75 0.821429
Peverley 4 1 1 2 18:00 0.5 0.027778 3.25 1.625
Total: 9 3 6 9 1 0.054995 9 1
Eriksson 5 2 0 2 16:56 0.4 0.023529 4.25 2.125
Smith 5 0 3 3 12:39 0.6 0.047619 0.9 0.3
Total: 10 2 3 5 0.5 0.033784 5.15 1.03
I'll update those stats later. The initial look through 5 games has this as a bad trade on all points except (obviously) cap hit. The worst aspect for me is actually dollar per point, where the Bruins are spending $1.03 of cap hit for every point they get out of their new duo while Dallas are squeezing a piont out of ever $1.0 million from their pricier pair. I would like to think this is the part of the trade the Bruins win, but not so far. The lone shining light so far for Boston is Smith, who is providing great bang for his 900k buck and great production per minute of ice time. Eriksson is producing well below career norms so far so we should expect something better as the year progresses, turning the trade more statistically in favour of Boston.
What are your thoughts? Personally I'm really liking Smith. He actually reminds me a lot of Seguin, with less speed and a worse shot, but with more grit and possibly a bit more smarts and compete. Kind of a Seguin/Krejci blend, though it is most likely a huge stretch to think he will ever produce like either of them. I like Eriksson as well. The real challenge is can they possibly recover what was lost in Seguin if he reaches his potential and scores 90+ pts with only 18minutes per game of ice time and a cap hit of "only" 5.75 million, which would be great for a high-end scorer.
Your forgetting Seguin and Peverley's chiity play probably cost the Bruins a stanley cup. your initial look is an over statement 5 games into a regular season and wayyyy premature. lets wait to all is said and done.