What they can and cannot do.
posted at 4/9/2013 10:09 AM EDT
Lots of threads in the last day or two with lots of posts containing the phrase: "they cannot win...playing like this, giving up this many shots, scoring this many goals, with CJ as coach, with Pandolfo/Caron/Peverley/Thornton/Campbell on the secondline, with Jagr anywhere but with Krejci, with Chara aging, with Rask as the #1/unless Rask stands on his head."
This team is the king of winning ugly. They're winning, so they can win, even if you think it's ugly. What we're talking about is probability. They're less likely to win with Campbell on the second line than Bergeron. They're less likely to win if they keep giving up 40+shots. They're less likely to win if they only score 2 goals a game. Yet they still keep winning within those parameters, so it's not true that they can't win.
4-1 in their last 5. 2-5 in their previous 7, which is the stretch that has henny penny worried. Prior to that, they had another 5-1 stretch where the only blemish was the third period breakdown vs. the Penguins. Their longest losing streak all year is two games. Other than that 2-5 stretch, there is no 7 game stretch in this season where the Bruins have lost more than 3 games. Playoffs are measured in 7 game sets. You only have to win 4 of 7.
Let's call it what it is: it galls people that they have lost to the Pens and Scabs this year. Scabs took the season series in large part because the Bruins choked a third period away and lost in a shootout. Pens also took the first game by coming back in the third, and the Bruins haven't beat them all year. Put another way, the thinking seems to be that the Bruins haven't beaten the Scabs and Pens, so they can't beat the Scabs and Pens. And that's just not true.
They need to get their game together. They need to get Peverley and Kelly untracked and get Jagr in the right role. They need Seguin scoring and using his speed. They need Lucic and Horton to dominate physically. They need Rask to continue to play like a top tier goalie. They need all of this to happen in the same games. If they get none of it, they will likely lose in the first round. If they get all of it, I like the odds for duck boats. But other than the duck boats, how is this different from any other team among the contenders?