Re: Lakers/Celtics Finals Unlikely
posted at 1/20/2011 4:15 PM EST
In Response to Re: Lakers/Celtics Finals Unlikely
[QUOTE]Spurs can keep this pace but its unlikely. But one reason they can is cause the NBA is now a league of HAVES and HAVE NOTS. Like the nfl years ago... a handful of great teams, the rest garbage. Who really has a legit shot at the title? Boston, Miami & Magic in the east. Lakers, Spurs & Mavs in the west. Nobody else has a prayer to win a title.
Posted by Karllost[/QUOTE]
3 teams have won 15 of the last 20 (Lakers, Spurs, and Bulls) and during the same time only a handful of others have been the opposing contenders.
It is theoretically cyclical - the very bad teams draft the best players and the best teams draft the worst players and as the bad teams acquire the best players they should climb out of misery and the best should trend down as the stars wane.
Since compiling the BIG 3 the Cs have drafted zero stars for the future while the Clippers entire starting 5 (when healthy) are lottery picks and probably what you would consider one of "the haves" if Kaman were healthy right now. They are 16 and 25 and there is no doubt in my mind their record would the opposite had Kaman not gotten injured.
In a couple years the Cs will be the Cavs and just a few short years ago Joe Dumars was considered one of the best executives in the league and now how he is still employed is beyond me.
Of course the things that disrupt the cyclical nature are the big trades - Shaq to the Lakers, Pau to the Lakers, and the new method - players engineering their own movement.
The Lakers have no plan B and will soon become the Pistons, ditto for the Spurs - Duncan goes and all of a sudden Pop forgets how to coach, etc.
The Bulls, Clips, Kings, Hawks, and a few others have very strong young groups - it is a matter of whether they can add additional key pieces and wait until the "haves" become "have nots".