Re: Rumors that Rockets talking with Bucks Re Ilyasova/Sanders (C's can facilitate)
posted at 12/17/2013 11:56 AM EST
In response to BiggerThanMyBrady's comment:
I apologize for the length on this, but this is a good topic. Found it to be more interesting the more I dove into it. If you don't want to read a lot of numbers than skip this. If you're looking for a balanced argument for Asik vs Sanders.
Both players have had ONE good season in their respective careers
Asik (2012-2013): 10.1 points, 11.7 boards, 0.9 assists, 1.1 blocks, 54% FG, 56% FT, 30 MPG
Sanders (same year): 9.8 points, 9.5 rebounds, 1.2 assists, 2.8 blocks, 51% FG, 61% FT, 27 MPG
But Asik played 500 more minutes last year than Sanders. Extrapolate those numbers at 36 min per game and you get:
Asik: 12.2 points, 14.0 boards, 1.1 assists, 1.3 blocks, 54% FG, 56% FT
Sanders: 12.9 points, 12.5 boards, 1.5 assists, 3.7 blocks, 51% FG, 61% FT
Pretty similar numbers. One's a better rebounder, the other is a better shot blocker. But how much better of a shot blocker is Sanders really?
Well last year he set the Bucks franchise record for blocks in a three-game stretch with 22. He beat Kareem's record, but the difference between the two is Kareem started while Sanders did that coming off the bench. As a starter Sanders averaged a double-double per game (10.3 points, 10 boards, 2.8 blocks in 28.5 minutes per). While Asik is second best in the NBA at rebound percentage, Sanders is still in the top-10. With Sanders on the floor the Bucks were the fourth best defensive team in the NBA. Players in the NBA average about 55-60% shooting when inside the circle. When Larry Sanders is playing, players shoot 35%. That is all in the link I provided earlier if you want to double check.
Here's what's not in that link.
Offensively things get a little dicey. At the rim Sanders shot 65% last year, while Asik shot a solid 60%. Now Asik has a higher percentage from 10-15 feet but it's on .1 attempts per game, meaning that Asik likes to play close to the basket on offense (it also suggests that Asik gets points on put backs from offensive rebounds).
From 3-9 feet from the basket:
Asik: 27% on 1.2 attempts/game
Sanders: 26% on 1.2 attempts/game
From 10-15 feet:
Asik: 54% on 0.1 attempts
Sanders: 30% on 0.6 attempts
From 16-23 feet:
Asik: 35% on 0.2 attempts
Sanders: 29% on 1.3 attempts
Asik had 14% of his shots blocked last year. Sanders' shot was blocked on only 5% of the time. This could either be explained by Asik being too close to the rim, which is more susceptible to blocks, or Asik has zero ups (which is partially true). What the data above suggests is even thought Asik's percentages were higher, defenses have to respect Sanders ability to stretch the floor more based on the amount of attempts. Asik RARELY shot further than 9 feet away from the basket. Would think Stevens would prefer a big that stretches the floor considering he has KO, Sully, and Fav all shooting 3's.
Also last year Asik had a 14.84 PER vs Sanders 18.92.
Sanders is due 11 million for the next four years. Asik is only on the books for 14 million next year. That seems to be the big issue here. But Sanders is two years younger than Asik and who knows what Omer will get once he's up for a new contract. To me, Sanders is the more valuable player when you look at everything together. His defense speaks for itself, his rebounding numbers are comparable, and he can stretch the floor.
Have at it folks.
That's quite the long, all things considered, their a wash. I don't see either one turning ateam around.