Re: So, ah, Dudder.............
posted at 4/24/2011 11:34 PM EDT
In Response to Re: So, ah, Dudder.............
[QUOTE]Gotta assume Ray is here thru 2014.... like Pierce. He is in such good shape and so smooth. Why won't a 36 min, 16.5 point 49/44/88 guy at 35 be a 24 min, 11 point 44/41/86 guy at 38? 3 more yrs and an avg of 28 mins and 13 points. Gotta HOPE KG's knee just feels better and he signs for 2 more (cheap) years after 2012. Then he is a 26-20-14 minute guy going 13/8-11/7-9/6 ages 35-37. Rondo and DWest have PG covered. Green should DEF be retained, then fit into the offense as a top 3 option, like a Reggie Lewis 1989-92 guy (19 points, 4 reb's a steal and a block) reg was always the 2nd option to Bird (Pierce) but played 36-39 mins per game (SAME ages Green will be) and was quietly a near all-star. Just little emotion, best if he is your 3rd or 4th 'face of the franchise'. Perfect for a team w/ 3 more years of Rondo-Paul-Ray. So at SG-PF we have an 'average' of 116 of the 146 mins covered 2012-14. We need that young guy w/ the increasingly bigger role... like 20-24-38 minuted 2013-13-14. The scraps can go to Murph/Pavlovic. I just don't see that player as Big Baby. I say Baby (sign and trade) and our 2012 pick (that we don't need as much anymore b/c of Clips pick) should be the bait to get a SG or PF to play those mins. The MLE should also be used. The Dwight Howard pipe dream ignored. A Center we are fine for 1 year if we keep Krstic and the O'Neals. Then there is the good 2012 pick in a DEEP draft... and a better AVERY... they should be in play... with this summer's MLE guy's salary as needed filler (should be used on a PF-C)... that could be a VERY enticing offer to get the big guy we need past 2012.
Posted by rameakap[/QUOTE]
Depending on the new CBA they may be stuck only being able to keep what they have, I think player movement will become very restricted. The league is looking to cut salaries by 40%, that could mean something like having a 13 million dollar guy that going forward is only worth 8 and a half million but you are stuck paying him 13 million.
Don't be surprised if there is no season next year, a hard cap the following year and then some special rules to grandfather in your own players under a hard cap and a stranglehold on movement.
I think the unfilled positions like the MLE, etc. will be cut in half in terms of what can be spent and so on.
It actually may be good for the game overall as GMs will have to be very careful on draft night, they won't be able to fill roster spots with potential that will require 3 years of development. Kids will stay in school longer and fine tune their games to improve their draft status. There will still be the Rose's, etc. that are ready after 1 year but the types of players that are currently drafted for potential will no longer be one-and-dones, obviously and especially if the league goes to a two years out of high school rule which has already been discussed.
Also don't be surprised if the Clippers pick is worse than the Cs. Kaman missed about half the season as did Gordon - an all-star center and the league's 4th or 5th leading scorer. Williams, Gordon, Griffin, Kaman, Jordan, Bledsoe, Foye, Gomes, and the rookie Aminu is a very good young core. With a healthy Kaman and Gordon this year, I think they could have been 50 and 32 instead of 32 and 50. Not sure what will happen with either team but I believe both the Cs and Clippers picks will be in the low-20s. That means a D West or a T Allen or an Avery Bradley, etc.
I don't think the NBA issue is like the NFL and will not be fixed as easily, in the NFL pretty much everyone is making money, in the NBA teams are losing money and it seems like there are lots of empty seats.