Re: Strategy vs Miami
posted at 4/26/2011 12:02 PM EDT
In Response to Re: Strategy vs Miami
[QUOTE]In Response to Re: Strategy vs Miami : The question 7 games from now is do I need a custom length driver and should it be the R11 or the new Diablo Octane? Belly putter or regular? Pro V 1 or Pro V1*. This apparent great play by the Cs against a junior high team missing 2 of its 3 best players means that they are going out on the road and beating a team that they could not beat without Shaq and were stomped on last time they played. I am setting the over / under that the Cs score 76 ppg in 2 games..... in how many games will the Cs score 76 or fewer? In the last 3 Heat / Bulls games the Cs did not score more than 80. The scores go down and the defense gets amped up. 5 straight wins against the Knicks should certainly give them all the confidence in the world especially after winning about half of their last 25 games. The Heat charged into the playoffs winning only about 18 of their last 20 and are playing a better team than the Cs did in the first round especially after you remove Billups and Amare. Of course none of these facts matter, just trying to provide some background. Let's all sign up now for some prediction so that we can all find out what we think we really know..... Heat in 7.......... let's all sign up and see if anyone can be objective or simply homers.
Posted by TheDUDDER[/QUOTE]
The problem is, if anyone picks the Celtics you will accuse them of being a Homer. As though only an objective person would bet against his team. A ridiculous standard to say the least. So here is my objective analysis of why the Celtics will win.
The Celtics will win this in 7. They have size advantages, our big men are simply better than their big men. Particularly if shaq comes back but even if he doesn't. We have advantages at the point. Rondo is 3 times the point guard Mike Bibby is and even though the knicks were hurt it doesn't diminish the fact Rondo put up historic numbers against the Knicks. When has Bibby done that in his entire career? Never and Bibby is far too slow to guard a player of Rondo's speed. We also have advantages at the power forward. Garnett almost always wins his matchup with Bosh, he is just a better player.
And the most important parts. The Celtics big three fit together better than the heat do. Paul Pierce and Ray Allen, are very different players. Ray does his work without the ball, and Paul does his work with the ball. Whereas the Heat, in James and Wade have two players who are almost identical. As a result they take turns, at one point of the game James is getting the ball and Wade is standing around at other time it is the reverse, Meaning one of them is out of any given play.
Finally experience counts, the Heat have real trouble winning very close games, they have tendency to isolate too much and therefore become predictable. The Celtics have terrific execution late in games as we saw in the New York series. So without beging a Homer at all, I say Celtics in 7. The Heat still worry me, they are a very good team, but the Celtics can beat them. Will they? That is a different thing, but I think the odds are in our favor.