Re: AFC Playoff Picture
posted at 11/9/2012 7:12 PM EST
In response to digger0862's comment:
In response to FrnkBnhm's comment:
I have no idea how accurate his picks are in general... I know that over in one of the Andrew Luck threads, he picked the Jaguars to win outright (or at least cover) against the Colts tonight and he missed that by two touchdowns. I take any line that some one is setting weeks in advance with a major grain of salt. I am not going to pretend like I know who is going to win most NFL games. If I did, I would be living in Las Vegas and gambling for a living.
I would also mention that what the Patriots did over the second half of the season 12 years is completely useless for predicting what they will do this year. Just two years ago, the Patriots went 4-4 to the end the season.
This is where we differ. You can say that about any other team except the Patriots. They are the model of consistency in Nov and Dec.
Let's go back and look at those 4 losses in 2009.
New England Patriots 34 at Indianapolis Colts 35
Sunday, November 15, 2009
The infamous 4th and 2 game. The Colts were 8-0 playing at home. The Colts trailed by 17 points early in the fourth quarter marking the first time Belichick's Patriots had lost when leading by at least 13 in the final period.
New England Patriots 17 at New Orleans Saints 38
Monday, November 30, 2009
The Saints were 10-0 playing at home. Nobody was going to beat the eventual Super Bowl champs on this day.
New England Patriots 21 at Miami Dolphins 22
Sunday, December 6, 2009
Brady was injured and threw 2 interceptions. The Patriots missed repeated chances to put the game away in the fourth quarter.
New England Patriots 27 at Houston Texans 34
Sunday, January 3, 2010
The Patriots had already clinched a playoff spot and had numerous injuries including Brady, Wilfork and Welker. Houston had a chance for their 1st ever playoff spot and were not going to be denied.
I don't see any undefeated teams on the schedule this year. At worst, I see 6-2, assuming no injuries to Tom Brady.
I do agree with you, but going 6-2, may not get the Patriots a bye. The Ravens would have to go 4-4 over the second half for the Patriots to pass them. Denver could easily go 7-1 with the schedule they have an finish with the second seed as well. The Pats could end up being with anything between the 2nd and 4th seed (I do not see them passing Houston even if the Pats win that game).
I agree about the 2009 schedule, but I just looked at the past 10 years, and this is definitely the next toughest second-half schedule the Patriots have had over that span. My post was more aimed at the people who think they can run off 10 straight to end the season the way they ran of 8 straight each of the last two years.