Re: Attention Armchair GMs:
posted at 3/14/2013 9:39 PM EDT
I think another thing people forget is that not all situations are alike. For the sake of argument, let's just factor these 5 things into the mix, although I'm sure there's many, many more:
1) Weather (how does someone growing up in the southeast handle playing in Boston?)
2) Coaching style (BB is more tight while Pete Carrol is more fun-loving)
3) Supporting cast (does a player perform better when paired with someone competitive or does he stop caring as much seeing someone else carry the load?)
4) Money (how does a player handle more money than he's ever had?), family situation (for instance, signing Gronk when he was single and later signing him after he's married with 3 kids),
5) Change of scenery (how does a player handle moving from one city to another? more distractions, less distractions?)
With advanced scouting, you would think our team and 31 other teams have a much better idea of what is going on with these players behind the scenes too. Therefore, it's hard for people like PatsEng above to just make a list of free agents and say "Boom, that's how easy it was."
I'm reading Isaacson's bio on Steve Jobs and it's like saying that Steve Jobs, had he been recruited by Pepsi, could have turned the beverage industry upside-down just because of his vision and charisma. Not likely. Possible but not guaranteed. It's all circumstances: where he was born, where he chose to start his company, who he ran into to build his computers, proximity, etc.