Re: Brady Freaks Out
posted at 12/12/2011 11:45 AM EST
Brady should have been called out. No one is above the coaching.
Brady, however, did not audible or change the play. That much is obvious.
The pass was a little behind him, and TQ was pulled back (missed flag) AND TQ could have fought for it as well.
But in the end, NE should have been running the football there as well.
Passing is your highest percentage of scoring a TD in that situation. But you only need a FG to win. Given that it's much easier to kick a FG than score a TD (two incompletes, or two stuffed runs even preserve this), then kicking a FG is the highest WIN percentage. You preserve the chance to score. Running on the goal line there, even three times in a row, preserves the chance to score. Thus providing the best win percentage.
Bad calls. Bad execution on both TBs and TU's parts. Bad officiating for missing an obvious defensive holding -- which would have also iced the game.
If OB is calling plays afraid, he is doing so because he's afraid that with four minutes left the defense might let the Skins score a TD in under a minute.
Considering how we've seen this happen against Buffalo, the Giants, and the Colts, plus the 28th ranked Skins offense basically blew that weak DB crew up yesterday there is reason to be afraid slightly.
But you don't let it cloud your judgement to situational football.
But a FG ices that game. And two runs makes it a 4 minute game with a two score lead. And in the end, it's still unlikely that the Skins score in one minute or two minutes, even as bad as the defense was, convert an onside kick, which is always unlikely when you know it's coming, and then prevent NE from converting a first down to ice the game. Then marching back down the field and tieing the game with a FG. Then being the first to score in OT.
Even though it's clear that BB and OB don't have faith in the RBs to score (and for some good reason, they are mediocre at converting short yardage, and rarely convert past what the line blocks for them) they should have faith they don't fumble it, and that the defense doesn't fold twice, and the offense doesn't fold twice, and the Pats don't lose the coin toss, and then fold on "D" or "O" (or both) in overtime.