Re: Do the Pats really want the #1 seed?
posted at 12/13/2011 5:08 PM EST
In Response to Re: Do the Pats really want the #1 seed?
[QUOTE]If Baltimore, Houston, and New England all finish 13-3, which tiebreaker(s) decide the seeding?
Posted by jimijazz[/QUOTE]
First, head to head if applicable, though it won't be here.
Then conference record.
Then shared oppoenents if you have at least four shared opponents.
Then strength of victory (winning percentage of the teams each team has beaten).
Then strength of schedule, but in practice it never comes to that. The chances that two teams will finish tied for the total win loss of their vanquished opponents is very, very low.
If my math is right if all teams win out all three will have the same conference record, meaning a wash there with all three at 12-2 in the conference.
NE loses the shared opponent W-L tiebreaker to Baltimore, but ties it with Houston, Houston having taken a loss against the Raiders but also having had a victory against the Steelers.
So it would come down to SOV. NE is at .415 with Denver, Miami and Buffalo on the schedule. Houston has Carolina, Tenn and Indy remaining and a .400 SOV.
Houston's SOV can only get worse right now, and NE's might even get a hair better. NE's final three have a record of 17-22 (.435) right now, while Houston's have a record of 11-28 (.282). Nothing that will happen in the final three weeks, outside of total shifts in fortune for three or four teams, would really skew that number enough to give Houston the tiebreaker.
So there you have it.
NE wins out, they play at least one game at home.