Re: Great article by Gasper!!
posted at 10/16/2009 4:05 PM EDT
In Response to Re: Great article by Gasper!!
[QUOTE]In Response to Re: Great article by Gasper!! : Wow, so are you saying they don't make the playoffs?
Posted by Sam-Adams[/QUOTE]
I would say 50/50 so far.
They are right in the middle of the pack of contenders as it looks today.
There is a pretty solid chance that at least one wild card will go to the North. With the Ravens, the Pats have the tie-breaker. But if the Ravens win the North, it is possible that the Pats finish behind both the Steelers and Bengals. If the Chargers overtake the Broncos as the season progresses, we lose a tie breaker to the Broncos.
I don't think we can say they have better than a 50/50 chance beating Jets and the Fins in those remaining games. These three teams look very evenly matched.
The Pats could wind up looking through the door window to the play-offs with a good record, but no spot, just like last year.
If the Pats lose one of the next three games (Titans, Bucs, Fins), only to face the Colts on the road thereafter, they probably will be 5-4. Would you expect a 5-4 team to grab a play-off spot?
Now consider that the only soft games remaining on the schedule would be the Bills and Panthers. The Jets have a very soft schedule. That may give them just enough advantage to push them past the Pats and Fins. They will probably win the East. The Fins' wild cat is a headache for this Pats team. The Pats have not handled the run well, and frankly, Chad Henne looked bettter than Brady last week.
I read that the Pats have the 3rd-toughest schedule in the NFL. If true, it only adds to the challenges they are already facing.
I want them to win, but I am not donning rose-colored glasses.