Re: List of UDFAs, who can make the roster?
posted at 5/8/2012 12:56 PM EDT
In Response to Re: List of UDFAs, who can make the roster?
[QUOTE]In Response to Re: List of UDFAs, who can make the roster? : A couple of years ago, a guy who works with NFL Labor told me that, on average, about 230 drafted rookies and about 210 undrafted rookies make 53-man or practice squad rosters every year. You're right that a lot of those undrafted rookies don't last long, but the same is true of low-round draft picks. I've never looked at the numbers, but I wouldn't be surprised if close to 20% of the NFL players who last at least five years were undrafted. Guys like Kyle Arrington, Dan Connolly, Wes Welker, Steve Gregory, Rob Ninkovich, and Danny Woodhead all started as UDFAs and have been significant contributors.
Posted by prolate0spheroid[/QUOTE]
You are looking at it from the NE Patriots roster who, other then Tampa, has the largest amount of UDFA's in the league. Now you have to figure that if a player lasts 5 years in the league they will make a 53 man squad after 5 years so I'm just going by that mark that you set. When you go down the list UDFA's made up 36% of the Pats 53 man squad at the end of the 2011 were UDFA's (Hoyer, Arrington, BJGE, Woodhead, Welker, McDonald, Wendell, Waters, Love, Silverstro, Fletcher, Guyton, White, Brown, Ihedigbo, Moore, Aiken, Connolly Polite). Only 6 of those players has played for more then 5 yrs (Waters, Connolly Welker, Ihedigbo, Polite, White) and if you include anticipated players who are currently signed by the Pats to the 12' roster who will be in at least their 5th season the number becomes 8 (Wendell, Connolly, Woodhead, Welker, Waters, White, Arrington, Gregory). So even with a team like the Pats that are top 2 in terms of amount of UDFA's on the team only 15% of the current roster are UDFA's in the league for over 5 years. The rest of the league average is most likely much lower. My guess is % wise that the mark is closer to 5-10%. Considering that as you pointed out 50% of the rooks entering the league are UDFA's and we take the larger league average number (10%) that would mean 1 out of 5 guys who go UDFA's will remain in the league for 5 years, regardless if they are backups or starters. So, if the Pats brought in 8 UDFA's given their hit rate along with the league average you figure only 1-3 of the players they brought in will last more then 5 years. What's even more disturbing is if you remove the players the Pats didn't sign as rooks but after establishing themselves in the league the Pats roster drops to 6% of the active roster are UDFA's that the Pats sign as rooks and lasted in the league for 5 years (provided they aren't cut in camp). That's typically why people get more excited about drafted players because there is a significantly higher chance a player will last in the league at least 5 years if drafted (in the Pats case 85% vs 15% which the Pats have the 2nd most UDFA's on the active roster in the league)
Nink was a 5th round pick