posted at 9/22/2010 12:15 PM EDT
MB and others,
yeah, i'm trying like heck to understand the drop off from 1st half to 2nd half. I posted some stats on another board, that are relevant to this discussion.
What i can't find, and not sure even if it is available is stats to look at playcalling, or the amount times the Pats run vs. pass between halves and efficiency in each.
what i did find (easy to locate) is Brady's situational stats from 2009, which I think are telling, as the 2nd half lapse has continued into 2010. Of course this is a different team, but there are some same personnel, and the strategy hasn't changed too much with O'Brien at the helm.
I look at it as a 3 pronged problem first off....offensive execution led by Brady, O'Brien strategy and playcalling and Defense.
Consider prong 1....
- 1st half of games compared to 2nd half of games, Brady's QB rating drops by 8 points in the 2nd half of games, TD's drop and but so do interceptions. His total pass yards from 1st half to 2nd half declines by roughly 23%, favoring the 1st half. He has more fumbles in 2nd halves, and plays much better in terms of QB rating when he is playing ahead in games (104 rating) vs. trying to come from behind (87 rating).
Also, when comparing home vs. away, Brady's QB rating goes from 109 at home to 81 on the road. He is 10% better at home than away in terms of completion percentage. He threw 7 more interception last year on the road vs. at home.
Trying to find any stats that would support prongs 2 & 3....anything that anyone has would be helpful. I lot of us are saying things drop off in the 2nd half, and we can clearly see that by the lack of points being scored, points being scored by other teams, etc....above is just a snapshot into the offensive leaders execution in terms of 1st vs. 2nd half...