Preseason Week 2 Power Ratings

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    Preseason Week 2 Power Ratings

    Preseason power ratings, middle of week 2 through Saturday night -- doesn’t yet include the Patriots game next Monday night.

    For preseason, I care about the best 50% of a team’s plays.  If they’re scoring first downs except for some boners, they’re going to be fine and dandy the day after final cuts.  If they can’t do anything at all now, they still won’t do anything in September.

    I don’t want to count a first and goal from the 1 as a real first down try.  Almost any team can score that.  If an offense can get to the 1, just give them the touchdown in preseason.  I’ll accept first and goal from the 5 as a fairer test of an offense’s mettle. 


    My week 2 first down counts comparing first-string quarterbacks, with an equal number of possessions for both teams:

    mia    car    5  Miami appears to be installing a new offense and a new defense this summer.  They were playing pretty tough at the end of last year, but these things happen with a new coach.

    was    chi    5  Chicago recovers from that debacle versus Denver, although Washington is still apparently a bunny this year.

    kc    stl    -4  Again, good team versus bunny.  One difference is that it’s an away game for Kansas City.

    sf    hou    -4  Now this one’s interesting.  Houston didn’t lie down, it got beat.

    dal    sd    -4  San Diego is somebody’s sexy pick to win the AFC west.  They stunk tonight.

    ten    tb    -3  Tennessee:  not at all like last week.

    oak    az    -3  Arizona continues to show nothing at all this preseason.  Zilch!

    buf    min    3  Minnesota has gotten over the whole Brett Favre thing.  Buffalo might not be such a hot young team on the rise, not yet.

    cin    atl    -2  Cincy is turning out to be a player. 

    jac    no    -2  Maybe New Orleans is suffering just a little from the sanctions. 

    det    bal    2  Baltimore gets its self-respect going.

    cle    gb    2  An acceptable but lackluster effort by Green Bay.

    nyg    nyj    -1  Neutral site.  The Jets have a really good defense but their offense is on a milk carton.

    sea    den    1  Peyton Manning seems to be scoring first downs, but Seattle’s defense got him off the field about 4 times.  Curious.  Not the Super show of force Denver fans would want.

     

    This week’s power ratings are characterized by lots of pretty strong teams and a number of severe runts at the bottom of the pile.

    1    ne    13.7    (last March, #1)

    2    pit    13.3    (last March, #9)

    3    sf    12.7    (last March, #4)

    4    no    12.0    (last March, #3)

    5    gb    11.3    (last March, #2)

    6    hou    10.6    (last March, #8)

    7    bal    10.6    (last March, #7)

    8    cin    10.5    (last March, #19)

    9    atl    9.7    (last March, #11)

    10    jac    9.3    (last March, #28)

    11    dal    9.2    (last March, #15)

    12    det    9.2    (last March, #13)

    13    nyg    9.0    (last March, #5)

    14    sea    8.7    (last March, #17)

    15    kc    8.6    (last March, #29)

    16    phi    8.4    (last March, #6)

    17    den    8.4    (last March, #23)

    18    ten    8.1    (last March, #18)

    19    oak    8.1    (last March, #25)

    20    car    7.9    (last March, #21)

    21    sd    7.8    (last March, #14)

    22    chi    7.8    (last March, #16)

    23    cle    7.2    (last March, #27)

    24    nyj    7.1    (last March, #12)

    25    min    6.8    (last March, #26)

    26    mia    4.3    (last March, #10)

    27    was    4.0    (last March, #24)

    28    buf    3.2    (last March, #22)

    29    az    3.1    (last March, #20)

    30    tb    3.0    (last March, #31)

    31    ind    2.1    (last March, #32)

    32    stl    0.4    (last March, #30)

    So there you have it.  Yes, these results will affect my point-spread numbers for week 1 of the regular season.  The latest Patriots results will be added in after they play.

    You are reading these ratings for free courtesy of myself.

     
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    Re: Preseason Week 2 Power Ratings

    By my first down count, Pittsburgh stunk.  It’s not just that the kid Luck had a nice touchdown drive, it’s also that the Pittsburgh offense had one 57 yard play and otherwise didn’t make the home crowd happy.  Pittsburgh comes down a notch.

    If Brady doesn’t play at all, I have nothing on which to base my first-string statistics.  The game is scratched from my numbers.  The Patriots are still #1. 

    My hindsight to 2011 and to 2010 tells me that next week the Patriots’ best players are each going to commit one clumsy turnover.  Their consistency in dumb preseason week 3 turnovers shall be amazing.  Just don't expect the same in week 1 of the regular season.

    My final preseason week 2 ratings:

    1   ne   14.3   (last wk. 1)

    2   sf   13.0   (last wk. 8)

    3   no   12.4   (last wk. 2)

    4   gb   11.5   (last wk. 3)

    5   hou   10.9   (last wk. 6)

    6   bal   10.7   (last wk. 9)

    7   cin   10.7   (last wk. 13)

    8   pit   10.6   (last wk. 4)

    9   atl   10.0   (last wk. 5)

    10   jac   9.6   (last wk. 20)

    11   dal   9.3   (last wk. 22)

    12   nyg   9.1   (last wk. 14)

    13   det   9.1   (last wk. 11)

    14   kc   8.7   (last wk. 10)

    15   sea   8.6   (last wk. 12)

    16   ten   8.3   (last wk. 19)

    17   den   8.3   (last wk. 15)

    18   car   8.2   (last wk. 17)

    19   oak   8.1   (last wk. 25)

    20   sd   7.8   (last wk. 7)

    21   chi   7.7   (last wk. 21)

    22   phi   7.7   (last wk. 16)

    23   nyj   7.1   (last wk. 23)

    24   cle   6.7   (last wk. 26)

    25   min   6.7   (last wk. 18)

    26   ind   4.9   (last wk. 31)

    27   mia   4.1   (last wk. 24)

    28   was   3.6   (last wk. 27)

    29   buf   2.8   (last wk. 30)

    30   tb   2.7   (last wk. 28)

    31   az   2.7   (last wk. 29)

    32   stl   0.3   (last wk. 32)

     

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