Re: Ridley me this...
posted at 10/1/2012 10:52 AM EDT
In response to TrueChamp's comment:
In response to zbellino's comment:
In response to 49Patriots' comment:
The Pats are 2-0 when what RB rushes the ball at least 20 times? Answer: Steven Ridley!
They 0-2 when he doesn't.
Give him the ball and get the F out of his way!
This has to do with the score. Teams with the lead run a lot more to kill off clock. We are talking basic statistical analysis 49.
The team that runs more in the first three quarters has zero statistical correalation with having the lead after those three quarters.
However, the team that finishes the game with a higher score (a.k.a., the winner) almost always has more carries because they are trying to end the game with the lead.
Statistically, the team that passes better in the first three quarters is more likely to win than the team that runs better. Once they have that lead, they run.
Hey Z, in your opinion, does the run open up the pass? Or is every coach in NFL history just getting this thing wrong?
So? The pass opens up the run as well -- since the dawn of the west coast era and post-west coast, most teams work that way, passing to establish downfield rushing lanes. But I'm not sure how this is relevant to a discussion of statistical outcomes.
It has no bearing on a claim that running more = winning. That just isn't true, and the entire NFL would look totally different if it were.