Re: Welker to Do Well With Broncos/Manning?
posted at 7/26/2013 10:06 AM EDT
In response to BabeParilli's comment:
In response to RallyC's comment:
Evidence? Ask TFB and the other WW apologists. it was much more than the obvious because they stiil dont really get it as they are still loyal. If you are looking for an afadavit from the staff, I dont have one. And if you think i'd bet my life on this? NO! Just like all of us here, we are using our own experiences to help with what we think. I believe I'm correct. I cant tell you for sure I am like i see others do, yes including Rusty, on a regular Basis. This is my educated assumption That is derived from my personal experience and education with the game.
If we're going to assume things based on pure speculation I'll take a stab at it as well.
I think BB simply realized Welker was dropping too many big balls in the playoffs. There have been a number of huge drops that really hurt the team. I think he correctly realized that it's pointless to have a guy run up numbers all year only to fail when you need him the most.
If we were only talking about the "butterfingers" drop, that would be one thing. But there have been several more. Repeatedly doing this shows Wes has real issues in big games. And you really don't want thirtysomething midget WRs that have real issues in big games on your team when the contract is up. Simple as that.
Everything you say above bolsters my position. Yes too many drops, as a result of too many targets in big sitatuions. That said, the EOY analysis for the staff comes down to cataloguing every single play during the season to identify weaknessess and tendancies. I have no doubts that a legit question that could come up when trying to identify obvious tendancies was likely, "Why does it seem like Tom is going to Wes on almost every single big play?" Answer, "Well, because he's open." Counter point, "Yeah, but after we reviewed the game tape, we show that on 40% of all throws to Wes, including the "BIG PLAYS", another receiver was in position for a target (open) also. And, on 25% of the WW targets, another receiver intended to be the primary was open on the selected option route designed for that particular pre-snap, defensive alignment." Though what I say here is largely speculation, I can tell you that I am seeing and saying what I have seen before with others and and heard before in meetings. As a former CB, I tend to watch the sets as much as possible. It is like guessing pre-sanp what the right audible would be going into the play based on Defensive movement. I personaly see plenty of times when other receivers would be open on what I anticipate as an appropriate "option route" before the play, then it is either validated or roven incorrect during the overhead TV replay. I am very good at it as it was required of me at one time as part of my job.