Re: Wild Card Weekend Games Thread
posted at 1/6/2014 12:57 PM EST
In response to prolate0spheroid's comment:
In response to wozzy's comment:
In response to TrueChamp's comment:
Boomshackala! Haha what's the word Wozz! How do we match up with the colts?
The Colts defense is pretty solid like most playoff teams, they can be run against though which should play into our playoff game plan nicely, they are the 26th ranked team in terms of yards and 25th in terms of yards per carry, only two guys on that interior have any mass and neither is a World beater but Josh Chapman was a solid draft pick and has been playing more.
Their pass defense on the other hand has been pretty good, they don't give up a lot of touchdowns. All in all we should be able to overpower and fool this defense with a healthy dose of running, play action and cold weather.
Offensively the interior of their O line is a weakness while their tackles are fairly strong, we should be able to get some pressure up the middle. I like the matchup of Luck vs Belichick here, he always has some tricks up his sleeve and this has shades of Patriot'/Colts games of old.
No game is a given, this team is tough and with a great QB like they have they always have a punchers chance, the gameplan should be to keep Luck off the field by controlling the clock. We should beat these guys. Now that the Chiefs are gone the Broncos at home should be our biggest challenge.
I tend to agree, given our current offense and the Colts defense, that running the ball makes sense in this game. We need to be productive in the running game and good defensively for that strategy to work, though. You can't just run and hope it works. It's got to lead to longer drives and points. If we don't run well or we give up too many big pass plays to Luck and that leads to the Colts scoring a lot early we could be forced into relying on the pass more than we might want. That will be a real test given the current state of the receiving corp.
Going just by this years results running the ball won't be a problem. We ranked 9th in the league in rushing, and had a better yards per carry then all but 1 of the 8 teams ahead of us.
Our power run game has been devastating all year with 1,500 yards and 14 tds. The only thing that will stop the run is us. Now of course if Luck shreds our D and goes up by a few scores early that changes, but hopefully if they go up by 1 score we won't start going pass heavy aginst this team....like we have shown a propensity of doing in close games this year.
We don't have the receiving core, and Brady has already been sacked far more times then he has since his rookie year. 40 sacks, coincidentally he has also thrown the 2nd most attempts of his career. Probably not the best way to protect the 36 year old future hall of famer.
i say run early, run often, and kill the colts with timely pass plays and start relying on some check downs...I noticed after watching all of the wild card games, we use the check down less then anybody. Always looking down field for our complex route trees to develop. Perhaps this ties into Brady taking more sacks then he has in 12 years?