Re: You're GM, what would you do this offseason?
posted at 2/27/2013 9:40 PM EST
In response to PatsEng's comment:
I know there has been one but it was buried and I'm lazy so now that we know we have ~23mil to play with (Thank you Brady), Lloyd's bad behavior in the locker room, Dennard convicted, and Brady extended what are you're moves this offseason?
Brandon Lloyd - If not for the locker room stuff I'd keep him as he provide good production for what he cost against the cap. However the locker room is enough for me to dump him and target a different WR, even if that means only having Slater on the roster at this point. Savings 2.5mil this years cap increasing space to ~25.5mli
Jermaine Cunningham - The only time Cunningham flashed last year was when he was on something. There was serious questions whether he'd make the roster and clearly the PEDs helped him keep his spot. After he was caught he completely disappeared. Savings 600K increasing cap space to 26mil
RFA Tenders -
Hoom - A original 5th round pick in 3rd year, I'd tender him at original pick level which would reward him with a 1.1mil contract. For what he brings to the team in terms of blocking and became the prime backup over Fells well worth the tender and try to work out a 2-3 year deal
Welker - before knowing about Lloyd and before Brady gave cap space I'd let Welker walk. But, if Welker is able to take a cap friendly deal for the first couple of years he'd be welcome back, provided the Pats become more diverse with the other WR. my offer would be the 40mil over 5 yrs as rumored with 18mil signing and a base of 2mil the first two years 4mil the 3rd and 7mil the last two years, with the first 3 guaranteed. It gives Welker 26mil guaranteed while minimizing the cap hit drastically and gives the team the option to back out after the 3rd year
Edelman - He gets hurt often but he's still one of the best PR men in the game and when healthy provides solid depth in the slot behind Welker. I don't think he'd command much money maybe a 3yr 8mil contract 3mil signing. That could mean a 13' cap hit of ~1.8mil which should be accetable
Vollmer - He appears healthy (minor knee clean up aside) and when healthy is one of the best RT's in the game. With Cannon and Solder you lock down one of the most important OL position in the game for years to come. To get it done I'm looking at Vollmer for a 5yr 35ml with 12mil signing and first 2 years guaranteed. I'd break down the base to 2mil each first two years, 7mil the next two years, 5mil the final year. This limits his cap hit to ~5mil the first two years before the cap expands and gives him 18mil over the first 2 years which should make him happy
Talib - I don't think the market for him will be as large as most think there will be. Grimes, Houston, DCR and similar options currently on the market and expect even more to be added, all without Talib's off-field concerns or previously failed drug test. I see a two year prove it contract which would benefit both sides. Talib will be able to hit the market before turning 30 and the Pats will get Talib on his best behavior and an easy out. I'm thinking a 2yr 12mil contract 5mil signing 2mil first year 2mil next year and a 3mil option bonus that must be picked up before the end of the 13' season for the 14' season
Total cap remaining - 8.5mil
David Nelson - A larger jump up and get it WR with a huge catching radius. Here's the Boldin type of WR that Brady needs but at Walmart prices. Because of his knee injury and the number of good available WR's on the market his asking price might be low, looking for a prove it contract, and we know that Pats wanted to sign him as a UDFA in 10'. They get there guy under a prove it contract for 2yr 4mil contract 2mil signing with the 1st year being a base min.
William Moore - I'd love to get Goldson but at this point I'm pinching pennies by this point. Moore is a very capable SS and is a large upgrade over Gregory but will cost less then Goldson and the hamstring injury might drop his price slightly. I'm looking at a 3yr 12mil 5mil signing with 1.5mil 1st year, 2mil 2nd, and 4 3rd year.
Total cap remaining - 4mil
29: Hankins/Jenkins/J Williams - If somehow Hankins falls he'd be my first choice but that might be less then a 50% cahnce at this point. The next up is either Jenkins or J Williams. Depending on who you ask on the draft forum it seems like one or the other is currently the favorite DT's that might be around at that point so they get the choice.
Trade Mallett - There are a number of teams looking for QB's and maybe 4 QB's worth taking in the 1st two rounds. Smith was just traded so there no longer is a FA or really trade market left. I'm looking at Ari at #38 who had Skelton and Kolb and desperately need a QB. Of course Mallett for #38 straight up most likely won't get it done so add the Pats 4th next year to complete it.
38: Margus Hunt - Hunt is tall, powerful, and an all around athletic freak. He's a bit of a raw prospect but has shown flashes of dominance. Put him to bookend Jones and they have one of the biggest DL's who can get to QB's in the league
60: Will Davis CB - He's taller then the normal Pats CB and was one of the most impressive CB's in college last year. Add him as a slot CB and the secondary is fully rebuilt at that point
91: Mike Glennon QB - I can hear it now, if we trade Mallett who plays backup? Well Glennon is this years version of Mallett. They are extremely similar players down to the off-field issues which is why Glennon even makes the back of the 3rd. You are essentially replacing Mallett for Glennon keep the same skill set and pick up a 2nd all for the cost of a 4th next year and 3rd this year. Sounds like a good deal to me.
With those positions in the draft and taking off Malletts contract we'd be just under 1mil left in the cap. To fill the rest of the positions will require a restructure or more releases. Wilfork is the prime candidate for restructure or extension and Fells would be a prime player for a cut. But, depending on how the FA's are structured they might be good anyways
Alright have at me and tear it apart
Good post, PE.
I don't have issues with your projected cuts, RFA Tenders or resignings, though I think Talib is still the wild card... he can cover and that still comes at a premium... if they get him on your proposed deal then I think it's a no brainer, though I don't think they'll go too far on him.
As far as you FA signings go, I like Moore as an option... am also interested in Reed and even Quentin Jammer who could even project to S, also play some slot CB, etc.
If they pass on Talib, Keenan Lewis, Greg Toler and Bradley Fletcher could be names of interest.
At WR, I'm thinking Brian Hartline is their top realistic option and I still like Brandon Gibson (and his decreasing drop rate) as options there.
A solid all around ILB like Brad Jones could be a target as well
So I could see:
- Cut: Lloyd, Cunningham
- RFA: Hooman
- Resign: Welker, Edelman, Vollmer
- FA Signings/Targets: Some mix of S Moore/Reed, WR Hartline/Gibson, LB Jones, CB Talib or Toler/Lewis/Flethcher/Jammer
Draft: (I'll go along with your trade)
- Rd 1: DT Jesse Williams- Alabama
- Rd 2: DE/OLB Tank Carradine- FSU
- Rd 2: (Pick your CB) Logan Ryan/Darius Slay/DJ Hayden/Jamar Taylor/Jordan Poyer
- Rd 3: (Pick your WR) Stedman Bailey/Ace Sanders/Ryan Swope/Josh Boyce/Markus Wheaton
- Rd 7: WR TJ Moe- Mizzou
- Rd 7: S Cooper Taylor- Richmond
If they don't pick up a S in FA, I'd add in Cyprien and Elam as options with one of there first (2) picks or Swearinger, Josh Evans, Shawn Williams, and Shamarko Thomas etc. as options on Day 2.