Re: A look at the kids Jackie Bradley and Matt Barnes
posted at 5/20/2012 6:15 PM EDT
In Response to Re: A look at the kids Jackie Bradley and Matt Barnes
[QUOTE]I must admit, I'm a bit confused as to why you compared Middlebrooks with JB Jr. JB Jr. has certainly gotten off to a hot start for his Red Sox career, but I can't see a scenario that's good for Boston in which he makes any contribution to the MLB club next season. Earliest I can picture him on the 25 man roster would be May 2014 (extra year of control), and that's a best case scenario.
Posted by JB-3[/QUOTE]
The comparison to Middlebrooks was simply to point out who is our number 1 prospect right now and who I think could take over that spot by the end of the year or the beginning of next year. I see in Middlebrooks a good hitter, but not the typical Red Sox style of hitter that we have grown accustomed to developing. By this I mean that he doesn't have patience at the plate and has not shown an ability to walk often or work a count like Youks does. I see these qualities in all the past great Red Sox lineups we had. I also see the most successful players we developed have these qualities as well such as Youks, Pedroia, and Ells to start his minor league career.
In AA Ells walked as many times as he struck out and that translated to 2 K per BB in the majors. Pedroia walked more than he struck out through every level of the minors and that comes out to about 1 BB / K in the majors. Youks also walked more than he struck out in the minors and that came out to about 2 BB / 3 K in the majors.
Middlebrooks had 1 BB / 4 K in the minors and in the majors it translated to about 1 BB / 7 K in the majors so far in his debut. Granted we had another player Hanley Ramirez who had a 1 BB / 2 K in the minors and started out with a 1 BB / 4 K in the majors and has improved in three years to 2 BB / 3 K and made out pretty well, but he didn't stick on the Red Sox. I don't know if it was Theo driving the prototypical hitter they were looking for, but historically in the post Yawkey era the management valued the ability to get on base and it has produced results. See Bill Mueller, Johnny Damon, Millar, Ells, Belhorn, Olerud, Lowell, Manny, Ortiz as players we had success with who could work the count and make tough outs.
I don't mean to directly compare Bradley with Middlebrooks as my main comparison was Pedroia. I was simply pointing out that I project Bradley to be a more consistent hitter with a better approach that can add value in other areas such as working the count that we value here in Boston that we won't get from Middlebrooks.
With Middlebrooks inability to find other ways to get on base it has a tendency to make for a streaky player who is either very hot or very cold. It worked for Nomar for quite some time at a very high level and is much more rare to find. There are much less Vladimir Guerrero type hitters for a reason in the majors. In the long run Jeter is still playing at a high level when Nomar has been retired for quite some time when I remember debating on if Nomaaa was bettaaa or if Jeeetaaa was bettaaa. I hope that points out why I think that Bradley could possibly take over Middlebrooks as the top hitting prospect if Middlebrooks retains his prospect status over time.