Re: A Realistic Look at 2012: Part II
posted at 5/11/2012 11:36 PM EDT
well, then, 5, as usual the Sox will have banked money to keep the wrong guys or the guys who least produce, while the guys who actually do produce or do well in a Sox jersey are deemed "out of their price range."
Hardly anyone agreed with me when I claimed that the CC deal would cripple us for 7 years.
Then when the Sox have money again after Ellsbury leaves, they undoubtedly will spend it all on one guy, a pitcher, and then we will all cringe when we learn the pitcher has arm trouble and is age 31.
danny, I love Jacoby and want him here until he is 34-35 years old or so. However, he really is not a proven player worthy of $20M a year x 6 or 7 years at age 30 (winter of 2013-2014). As much as I disagreed with the CC signing, at least he had put up several years of decent numbers.
I didn't think CC was worth anywhere near $20M/yr, but unfortunately that will set the bar for Ellsbury. If Jacoby comes back this year and hits like he did in 2011 for 1.5 more years, he will want and get $20M+ x 6 or 7. If we sign him for that, our budget will be severely restricted, unless we dump other high salary players. Yes, Papi should be gone by 2014, and that alone would pay for his raise, but I still am not sure we want about 1/4th of our salary budget spent on just our OF.
I get your point, but I just am not sure the Sox will offer what others will, and I don't think Jacoby will take even an equal offer. These two reasons lead me to believe he should and will be traded.
I'm going to take this time to say I'm sick and tired of the mantra that the Sox are always out of the bidding on their own players. It's pretty weak, and right now, pretty pathetic.
Most of their "own players" were not worth what others signed them for, with the possible exception 1 or 2 guys. I had hoped we traded Youk and kept Beltre, but would that be any more loyal? (Youk was a longtimer-Beltre a 1 yr stud.)
Damon had no place to play here, and would not have put up the numbers that Yankee stadium helped him achieve. His cost and length were both too much. Letting Pedro, Bay, and the trading of Nomar were all clearly the right choices. The VMart situation was debatable, but once we got AGon, it was really hard to keep VMart and Papi, since no way could VMart be a FT catcher for 2+ years, let alone 4.
danny, do you see the possibility of us signing Jacoby for $140M/7 and then watch him never come close to 2011 nmbers again, of get hurt often? I'm not sure any FA at 30 years old or older is worth that kind of length.