Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part II
posted at 2/2/2013 11:39 AM EST
In response to RedsoxProspects' comment:
Man, we sure sound like old timers...and I confess, I lived through that era also!
It will be interesting to see what they do with the excess relievers. It seems like we should have a ton of depth in the pen. Particularly if Bard comes back as strong as I think he will.
I think Doubront just faded at the end because he wasn't used to that many innings. He should be fine this year. And we have enough depth at the starting position to rest some guys if we can stay healthy at all. I would strongly consider moving Tazawa to back up starter. Stretch him out in AAA ball just in case.
I'd rather see Taz as our #5 starter, but I seriously doubt that happens even if someone gets hurt.
As for Doubront "fading": yes, he had a rough August (8.16/2.02WHIP in just 3 starts) and September (5.13/ 1.35 in 6 starts), but his June ERA (5.83) and WHIP (1.47) were both worse than September.
WHIP by month:
Pretty consistently bad.
Apr .794 in 97 PA
May .651 in 146
June .918 in 129
July .721 in 121
Aug .892 in 71
Sep .734 in 145
His best 3 months here were May, July and Sept- a perfect rollercoaster effect.
Although I like Ks, I do not rate them as high as most posters here, especially when they are coupled with high BB rates. I still think Doubront has a lot of promise, but I have more faith in the promise Tazaawa shows.
Doub '12: 4.86 1.447 .775 OPS against (OPS+ 114) 9.3 K/9 2.35 K/BB
Taz career: 3.73 1.355 .752 OPS against (OPS+ 100) 7.7 K/9 4.13 K/BB
(Note: the sample sizes are varied, and Taz's is spread over 3 seasons: Taz 315 total PAs against, Doub 709 PA against in 2012.)