Re: Adam Jones 6 Years in and 6 Years & 85.5M
posted at 9/27/2013 11:21 PM EDT
In response to Kingface12's comment:
In response to hill55's comment:
In response to RedSoxFireman's comment:
[QUOTE]Jones has average over 20 homers in those 6 years and has average over 30 homers in the last 2 years. His career OPS is .781. Career SLG .459
Ellsbury's value is less than that, because large differences in pop and power trumps small differences in OBP and large differences in stolen bases.
The budget for Ellsbury should be no more than 5 years and 60M, which would be a mistake for the Red Sox but a good value for some of the NL teams.
The six-year, $85.5 million contract for Adam Jones included the final arbitration year for the Baltimore outfielder. The salary will be about $77 million for the five years of what would have been free agency for Jones.
Going into Friday evening's game, the 30-year-old Ellsbury had been valued at 23.7 WAR* in 713 career games while the 28-year-old Jones had been valued at 16.8 WAR in 944 career games.
* Wins Above Replacement as reported at FanGraphs
Wait.......so let me got this straight......the Softfireman has been proved wrong by hard stats again????? GASP!!!!!!
oh wait......he/she's gotten EVERYTHING VERY WRONG this year every time....... wow.....s u cks to be him/her.........
I thought it would've been obvious that Jones was never a FA. He also signed when there were a ton of CF's on the market, further depressing his value. Bad move by his agent, at least financially. Maybe Jones isn't the greedy type, but given their profiles, my guess is that he'd have gotten at least 7 years at his age, and probably the same $16M+ that Ells will get. The contract he signed takes him thru age 32, which is not a great time for an extension.