Re: Another Yankee pitching bust?
posted at 3/8/2012 10:13 PM EST
In Response to Re: Another Yankee pitching bust?
[QUOTE]TWM Do you mean his catching needs more time? or is he a Napoli type now? I brought up the Lava/Montero comp b/c (as many have pointed out) Montero is ranked as an elite prospect unlike Lava. Yet it is easy to find scouts comparing Lava favourably.
I feel it is fair to question if Montero is a "generational" prospect. We can only go on what the scouts have said b/c neither has been seen much by any of us. IMO the scouting is confusing: on one hand Montero is much higher in rankings while on the other hand his catching has been denegrated over the last year.
Posted by tom-uk[/QUOTE]
Jesus Montero is ranked well above fellow Seattle prospect Vinnie Catricala, a hitting machine whose minor league statistics surpass those posted by Ryan Lavarnway.
In some respects, Lavarnway resembles Catricala, a righthanded power hitter who has torn up minor league pitching while in search of a defensive position. Both are ranked behind Montero on prospect list despite superior hitting statistics in the minors. Baseball America
ranks each player ninth on his team's prospect list*. Jonathan Mayo of MLB.com and John Sickels have Lavarnway fourth and Catricala sixth, Baseball Prospectus
has Lavarnway fourth and Catricala eighth (before Montero's arrival) and FanGraphs
has Lavarnway eighth and Catricala tenth.
Overall, Catricala ranks 134th and Lavarnway 139th on this "consensus" prospect list:http://stealofhome.wordpress.com/2012/02/27/2012-consensus-top-185-prospects/
Here are the minor league lines for Lavarnway and Catricala:
Lavarnway .284/.376/.521/.897, 1601 PA
Catricala .322/.397/.536/.933, 1423 PA**
Lavarnway, who is 14 months older than Catricala, has played only 78 games above the Double A level while Catricala has not played above the Double A level. The Mariners continue to look at Catricala at third base, where he was drafted, although Catricala's defensive struggles have prompted auditions at first base and in the outfield.
Lavarnway clearly has value if the Yale product can stick at catcher, but his value elsewhere is less clear. Likewise for Catricala if the Seattle prospect can't find a defensive position.
* the Mariner prospect list is more highly regarded at the top end than the Red Sox list
** even without his statistics from the hitter-friendly California League, Catricala's statistics hold up well against Lavarnway's stats.