Are a lot of the free agent signings just a case of bad luck?
posted at 7/11/2012 12:41 PM EDT
With the benefit of hindsight, everyone is a genius. It is easy now to take a look at some of Boston’s recent free agent signings, whine and moan about them on message boards, call WEEI and The Sports Hub to complain about them not panning out, and pat yourself on the back for thinking you are the smartest guy in the room.
But some of these free agents not panning out is, in my opinion, just dumb luck, something that nobody would have seen coming.
Look at a guy like Carl Crawford, for instance. In 2010, before he signed with the Red Sox, he had 19 home runs, 90 RBIs, 47 steals, a .307 BA, an .851 OPS, all while playing excellent defense. From 2005-2010, he hit .300 five times, stole 40 or more bases five times, and was a stud in the field.
In short, he was the type of player, especially given his age, that the front office of a big-market team should have been pursuing. Had Crawford signed with the Yankees and played like the player most thought he would be, the same people bashing the move with the benefit of hindsight would be making snide comments like, “Well, at least John Henry has Liverpool to worry about.”