Re: Bard and his excuses, concerning?
posted at 12/29/2012 5:50 PM EST
In response to SonicsMonksLyresVicars' comment:
In response to slomag's comment:
I'm going with velocity: http://www.fangraphs.com/pitchfxo.aspx?playerid=7115&position=P&pitch=FA
If something took his velocity away, and that something is correctable, that's fantastic news. A bullpen featuring Hanrahan, Bailey, Uehara, Tazawa, Morales, Aceves, Miller and a pre-2012 Daniel Bard takes a lot of pressure off the rotation.
Slo, I almost posted the same about velocity being a/the leading indicator in such a case i.e. a very independent statistic. But as you posted it's not that simple. What could cause such a decline? Age? Not for Bard (or Lester), surely. Wear? Could be for either, I wouldn't know. Injury? Again, could be, I have no evidence. Mechanics? Confidence? To give up on Bard or sell low on Lester (neither of which you are advocating) is ridiculous.
Their potential upside to us is worth far more than what we'd get in Filene's Basement (RIP) today.
Bard blames back stiffness. He may just be reaching for excuses, but one interesting thing about Bard's velocity is that it wasn't just his fastball - his slider dropped 5 mph as well, which I imagine made it much easier to pick up the late break.
Lester's velocity was actually pretty consistent with 2011: http://www.fangraphs.com/pitchfxo.aspx?playerid=4930&position=P&pitch=FA
He's reportedly in great shape - I feel pretty good about Lester going into 2013. And I feel great about the bullpen. If we get some nice years out of guys like Lackey and Dempster, I think we have a shot.