Re: Boston Red Sox talked to Masahiro Tanaka's agent, meeting possible
posted at 1/13/2014 10:30 AM EST
In response to RedSoxKimmi's comment:
In response to redsoxpride34's comment:
while the sox have been careful about giving out long term deals to free agents, tanaka could/should very well be the exception. why? age. He just turned 25, so if we say signed him for 7 years (which is whats rumoured to be the projected length of contract he is looking for) he would be 32 by the end of his contract. Most free agent front of the rotation starters dont hit free agency till 28-32 age range. usually 30-31 is most likely. signing a pitcher at that age till there late 30's is way more risky. Looking at next years free agent crop, there could be some big names available, kershaw/shields/scherzer/lester are all slated to be free agents. No way do the dodgers let kershaw go. the way they spend money, no way they let the best pitcher in baseball walk. shields is good, but not what the sox need and could very well be resigned as well. scherzer is will likely re-up with the tigers, if he doesnt then he will be traded to a team that can afford to resign him by the deadline. that leaves lester who we will likely re-sign. we have tons of money coming off the books after this year, but chances are there wont be guys next year to spend it on besides lester. The other arguement is that we have lots of pitching prospects, but the reality is, they are just prospects until they prove themselves at the big league level. Look at guys like andrew miller, phil hughes, craig hansen, rick porcello etc. all were tops prospects but didnt pan out.
There are several pros for signing Tanaka, which you and others have pointed out. I don't think the Sox are going to be able to outbid the Yankees. The Yankees have a dire need for SP. That, plus having money to spend, will be difficult to outdo, IMO.
Even if the Sox could outbid the other teams, I don't think they would go 7 years for him, and I don't think they should. While he will likely be a very good pitcher, the fact that he has never pitched in the majors, coupled with all the innings he has pitched, leaves me leery of signing him for that kind of money.
I really would like to see some team other than the Yankees get him though.
Even 7 years would be pushing it.
He's only 25, but his arm not, by American minor league system standards.
The Yankees may want to look at the Ranger's program for Darvish, before they "Joba Rules" the kid to death, if they sign him.