Re: Bowden, Anderson, Doubrant
posted at 2/13/2012 2:08 PM EST
In Response to Re: Bowden, Anderson, Doubrant
[QUOTE]In Response to Re: Bowden, Anderson, Doubrant : Perhaps the Cleveland Indians did not want a firstbaseman who hit .233 with a .673 OPS at Double A that year: http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=anders002lar
Posted by hill55[/QUOTE]
That's not exactly a fair analysis. Anderson was coming off a season where he combined to hit .317/.417/.517 at high-A ball (77 games) and AA (41 games), all at age 20. That was enough to move him from Baseball America's 40th overall prospect in baseball to 17th. I don't know what Anderson's stats were as of the trade deadline, but remember that it was a deadline deal, so it's not like he was being judged on a full season of .673 OPS ball.
I also remember at the time that he had started slowly, and this surprised few people considering that he was a 21 year old in AA ball whose power was "only starting to blossom". His star was very bright, and I think at the time Theo had him pegged as the future starter at 1B for the Red Sox...but unfortunately, his power still hasn't really blossomed. Hindsight is 20/20.
Keep in mind that, while Anderson is still a post-hype prospect, he isn't exactly worthless (though there's no room for him in Boston). After his terrible 2009 he raked over 17 games in AA to start the year, moved up to AAA, and have very reasonable production in AAA as a 22 year old. He actually improved a bit last year, and the biggest problem is that, even still, that 25-30 home run power has shown up.
As an interesting parallel, Adrian Gonzalez had fairly similar numbers at age 22 in AAA, with the biggest difference coming from Gonzalez playing in the hitter-stat-boosting Pacific Coast League. Gonzalez finally broke through power-wise at 23 the following year in 2005, struggled over a partial season that same year once he was called up to the majors, and then truly began fulfilling his potential once dealt that offseason to SD. I'm not saying the same will happen to Anderson (Gonzalez was always considered to have more power potential), and the scouts have soured on him as well, but that doesn't mean he's doomed to mediocrity.