Re: Bring on the Rays! Predictions?
posted at 10/3/2013 11:44 AM EDT
In response to pumpsie-green's comment:
In response to tomnev's comment:
In response to TheExaminer's comment:
In response to andrewmitch's comment:
This is a great opportunity for payback. We are in the driver's seat. Our line up is better and we have pretty good starting pitching too. It's going to come down to Lester in G1.....the offense executing at every chance.......and Farrell pulling the right levers w/ the pen. The key thing is to play OUR BRAND of BASEBALL and not to worry too much about what the Rays are doing (like w/ the Shifts, etc).
I also wonder if Boggy will get some starts in over Drew. and if maybe that means MacDonald gets the last roster spot because have more flexibility in the IF may be more important than anything else.....
"Its going to come down to Lester in G1". Words to shudder by considering what happened the last time he faced the Rays in the playoffs. But I agree with playing OUR game and not letting them dictate the way they did with Texas and Cleveland. If we punch them in the face right away in game one, it will stagger their confidence, maybe permanently in a series this short.
This is exactly right.....We need to win Game 1 with Lester on the mound, because it puts tremendous pressure on the Rays to win Game 2 with Price.....we lose Game 1 and we are in deep trouble......I feel very good about Game 3 with Buchholz, so a Game 1 win could make Game 4 an elimination game for the Rays and that would make Maddon ahve to start thing about shifting his rotation, possible bringing Price back on 3 days.....and we would be sitting with an experinced guy in Peavy and Lester waiting at home for a Game 5, if necessary. In any 5 game series, Game 1 is key, even more so for the Home team.....but in this case it is an imperative.
Good assessment. Game one is the key. Win it and we are in very good shape; lose it and we will likely lose the series. The loser of game 1 has to win 3 of the next 4, and thats tough to do.
G1 is so much more important in a 5 game set than a 7 game set
Lose G1 in a 5 game series and you have to take 3 of 4 or 75%
Lose G1 in a 7 game series and you have to take 4 of 6, or 67%
Right now, the odds are probably 55/45 in Favor of the Sox because Game 5 is in Fenway
If the Sox win G1, I peg them at 90% favorites
If they lose G1, I give them about a 25% chance to win
G1 is worth 65 bases points!