Re: Career OPS
posted at 11/27/2012 9:49 AM EST
Moon's list: lets remove, Miggy because he is a 3B.
Pujols .969 (In decline)
Fielder .952 (May be a DH soon)
Konerko .896 (Keep waiting for this guy to decline as he ages)
Berkman .885 (Clearly not above average anymore)
Youkilis .877 (In decline)
Napoli .867 (Catcher/DH as well)
Teixeira .863 (Has declined for 4 straight years)
M Morse .857 (One year of team control)
K Morales .857 (One year of team control)
B Butler .854 (More of a DH type)
D Lee .844 (Not a better than avg 1Bman anymore)
Moon, take a look at this list. Due to age/decline of Tex, Berkman , and Youk, I am adjusting their numbers down.
Here' what I see: Top tier offensive 1B: Votto, Fielder, Pujols
Second Tier: Agon, Napoli , Morse, Butler
Third tier: Morales, Konerko, Tex
Fourth tier: Berkman, Morneau (prob a few others).
The free agent market value of a top tier 1B: 22M/yr . Considering this, are you really shy to give Naps a four year deal at 12M per. Considering that a) none of the first tier guys are available, and if by chance one does become available , he's signed to a 20M+ / yr contract. Even some tier 2 guys are at 20M+.
Napoli at 12M is a steal. If you have to overpay him in year 4, to get him for 3 yrs at 12, its worth it. If you traede for Morse, he is not going to resign. He's going to play his final year under contract, use Fenway to pad his stats, and sign a 4-5 yr deal that is going to make whatever Napoli signs for look like a bargain (because it is).
Also: Naps is a good clubhouse guy, is only 31 ( young for a FA), can play C if needed, has a Fenway swing, draws walks. You can expect the .863 to improve moving to Fenway and not having to deal w the fatigue of Catching.
If you are unwiling to go the fourth year for Naps, then you just arent willing to bring in impact free agents. I agree to try to get him for three, but if its give him four or lose him....pull the trigger.