Re: crazy thoughts on the trade market front...
posted at 11/25/2013 9:56 PM EST
In response to hill55's comment:
In response to notin's comment:
There is zero chance Demster clears waivers. The trend this off-season is to move on existing deals instead of more costly newer ones. In this respect, Dempster and especially Lackey, have very significant appeal.
How does Ryan Dempster and his $13.25 million contract stack up with Dan Haren and his reported one-year, $10 million (plus incentives) contract with the Dodgers?
The 36-year-old Dempster this year was valued at 1.3 WAR* in 32 appearances, including 29 starts.
The 33-year-old Haren was valued at 1.5 WAR in 31 appearances, including 30 starts.
The 2014 Steamer** projections favor Haren significantly, in part because Dempster is projected at only 10 starts.
* Wins Above Replacement as reported at FanGraphs
So is your argument that all trades are evalauted agaist one season of WAR? Unless more are needed to prove your point?
If anything, that deal proves how valuable Dempster is.
Haren has struggled and been worth a whopping 3.3 WAR over the past 2 seasons, or about what Dempster was worth in 2012 alone. I look at it this way.
Haren: 84ERA+ and signed for $10mill (plus oft-ignored incentives)
Vargas: 97ERA+, signed for $32mill
Dempster: 104ERA+, signed for only $13.25mill.
Despite how bad you want to paint it, Dempster is not a bad pitcher and would not clear waivers if exposed.