Re: Do you think it's right? The Red Sox ownership this winter is acting like a small market team.
posted at 12/11/2011 9:50 PM EST
I'm not sure where you are getting numbers from.
Gonzo, CC, Beck, Lackey, Youk, Dice, Pedroia, Lester, Jenks, Scutaro, Buch, Iglesias, Miller, all combine for $132.4. Add $13 for Papi, $7 for Ells. That's $152.4M. Albers, Salty, Aceves, Aviles, Lowrie, Dmac, Bard, Morales for ~ $10M. I have $162-163M. In one form or another, that makes for two decent $ options, and two cheap options. I assume RF will be a cheap Reddck/DMac option, leaving maybe $9M for a closer and 6M or so for another SP to partner with Bard or Aceves.
We don't have a lot of room, but I don't think we're quite to the wall yet.
I provided the link.
The luxury tax is based on the average salary of the contract not 2012 salary.
Trust me, I went through every salary average and after arb signings we will be at about $161M. We may let some arbs go or trade them, but the effect will be minimal. Then there is Papi. His signing should be about $12-14M/1 yr or $21-22M/2, so the hit on the luxury tax payroll will be $12-14M on 2012.
Our payroll number will be between $172 and $175M. Then, add the pension contribution of about $2M (softy's figure). Now we're at $174-177M. The luxury tax limit is $178M.
We are at "the wall". We can go over the wall if Henry says so, but it appears we will not go over by much.