Re: JBJ described as a defensive upgrade over Jacoby
posted at 1/24/2014 12:33 PM EST
In response to ctredsoxfanhugh's comment:
JBJ defense is considered ELITE.
from MLB's best tools.
"Best defender: Jackie Bradley, OF, Red Sox
Though his speed grades as solid at best, Bradley has an innate ability to read balls off the bat that allows him to chase down balls from gap to gap in center field. His defensive prowess helped spur South Carolina to consecutive College World Series championships in 2010-11, and it enabled him to make Boston's Opening Day roster last year at age 22. The Red Sox may miss Jacoby Ellsbury's bat this season, but Bradley will be a defensive upgrade over the $153 million free agent"
And I'm basing what type of hitter I think he will be based on what he has done his entire pro career and his college days as well and not 100 at bats at the MLB level when he was obviously rushed.
So while everyone is rushing to judgement because of a small sample size.....everyone in the scouting community has JBJ ranked higher this year.
In other words the baseball world in the knows are fully aware that he was rushed and he did nothing to hurt....and actually helped his prospect status last year.
JBJ is going to be a very good ballplayer.
The kid had just 107 PAs with the Sox last year. Even if those were in oe continuous stretch, the sample size is way too small, but he only played 4 days in a row twice with Boston (April 4-7 & July 9-12).
He had 38 PAs during his April stint.
He had just 21 during his late May/early June stint, including 2 from late inning replacement.
He had just 7 PAs in his July stint.
Only his September stint was noteworthy in terms of playing FT for more than 17 days, and that was only for 22 days and 41 PAs.
Although this is even a smaller sample size than the one I am criticizing others for using, he did have 3 HRs and 4 DBLs over his final 59 ABs.
Looking at JBJ's total body of work at the plate, there is very little reason to believe he will fail at the ML level.
2009: .968 OPS
2011: .829 (about a half season)
2011: .686 (in just 40 PAs with Lowell & Greenville)
2012: 1.006 (A+ in 304 PAs)
.809 (AA in 271 PAs)
2013: .842 (AAA in 374 PAs, including 39 XBHs)
Overall, his minor league numbers show he gets an XBH every 10 PAs or so (96 in 819 ABs). He has a .404 career minor league OBP and a .471 SLG%.
The comparison to Ellsbury is hard to ignore, even though JBJ is a different type of player, but Jacoby had a .390 OBP in the minors and a .426 SLG%. I'm not saying this means JBJ will be a better hitter, but it is certainly not crazy to think he may end up with a similar OPS eventually.
The loss of speed on the basepaths will hurt, but the gain in financial flexibilty should more than make up for the drop offs between Jacoby and JBj going forward.