Justin and Justin
posted at 11/16/2012 8:28 PM EST
So the other day, I cam up with some sort of statistical meassurement tool, not sure if it hwelps with projections or equivalents or what just yet, but I kinda like it.
Anyway, I used this to see what would happen if I plugged in Justin Upton and Justin Smoak, as I have expressed both as good targets for different reasons. The resultsd were VERY surpising.
Upton was a miserable failure, with a .254BA, a .329OBP and 22HRs. Smoak was a little better, posting a .260BA / .340 OBP with 20HRs.
I was a little surpised upton did so poorly. He has never hit that low in his career. I think a lot of it has to do with his ability to just pummel ground balls past infielders, particualry down the lines, which I simply could not account for.
Smoak, whom I have repeatedly called the unluckiest hitter in MLB, ctually looks like a reasonable option. These are still Safeco-based numbers, and would obviously improve were he to actually get into a decent ballpark. As he does actually go the opposite way quite well from the left side, and pulls with very solid contact right-handed, I can think of one obvious fit.
Not that I would offer much for him. One of the excess catchers should suffice. Lavarnway or Salty for Smoak? Make it happen Ben!!
Assuming you get another hitter elsewhere, of course. And if it has to be a free agent, I stronglt suggest SWisher