Re: Maybe we all just need to adjust our expectations
posted at 2/3/2012 10:13 AM EST
In Response to Re: Maybe we all just need to adjust our expectations
[QUOTE]Adjust THIS. My expectation is a club that is going to be battling it out for the crown of the best division in baseball. My expectation is that Ellsbury, Pedroia, Youk, Gonzalez, and Ortiz are going to be absolutely mashing, as usual. My expectation is that Beckett is going to be awesome, just like he was last year until his ankle injury. My expectation is that Lester is going to be really good, as usual. My expecation is that Clay B., if he is healthy, is going to be nasty. My expectation is that Dice returns in contract year form, on the same page with Bobby V., slangin' (and nibbling, of course). My HOPE is that Bard can backup his bold calls for a spot in the rotation with success. My expectation is that the backend of the pen, with Aceves, Melancon, and Bailey will be, along with the Yankees, one of the very best in the game (and that is not even considering if Bobby Jenks can lay off the cheeseburgers long enough to give anything at all). And, above all, I expect these really good baseball players to be bolstered by a serious chip on the collective shoulder. Are there question marks? Yes, there are, and the season perhaps revolves around them. But all this 'adjust our expectations' talk is seriously pathetic. Buck up little campers. pitchers and catchers report soon and the Sox are gonna be nasty.
Posted by SpacemanEephus[/QUOTE]
The flip side is also true:
Ellsbury will regress slightly but still be really good.
Youk hasnt played more than 140 games in three years, and is a year older.
Ortiz, is also a year older, and in the last three years, last year was the aberration, not the norm.
I expect Pedroia and Gonzalez and Ellsbury to be All stars
Crawford's wrist injury affects him a lot, just like Youk's
Varitek will not be here to settle the pitching staff.
Lester is the only lock in this rotation for 200 Innings.
Beckett is a lock for 175 and will probably give closer to 190 but if he pulls that every other year thing, then what.
Clay has never thrown more than 175 innings in his career. And is coming off a major back injury.
Bard has never thrown more than 77 innings as a pro, and there is a reason they converted him to a reliever, how many innings can he realistically throw?
Aceves has never thrown more than 115 innings.
There is no depth at AAA, if there was, Bard and Aceves would be in the bullpen.
If there is an innings shortage from the rotation, then the bullpen will be overworked. Even if the bullpen is a strength, like it was last year, they will get worn down towards the end of the season just like last year. Add in that the Closer is gone, and the top two setup men are moving to the rotation.