Re: Middlebrooks and Doubront for Trumbo ...
posted at 11/17/2013 2:09 PM EST
In response to BosoxJoe5's comment:
In response to hill55's comment:
I'm no great fan of Will Middlebrooks, but I suspect the Red Sox would hang up first.
Mark Trumbo is far too similar to Middlebrooks, so the Red Sox could not justify four years of Felix Doubront and five years of Middlebrooks for three arbitration years of Trumbo.
When you put all your eggs in the Montero will be a better than Middlebrooks basket you kind of put your self in interesting positions to defend.
I'm no great fan of Will Middlebrooks or Jesus Montero, but I found interesting the 2014 Steamer* projections for Middlebrooks and Montero:
WM 202 PA, .260/.307/.460/.767, 1.1 Off**, 0.4 Def***, 0.9 WAR
JM 162 PA, .261/.321/.443/.764, 1.1 Off**, -4.2 Def***, 0.3 WAR
Steamer projects similar production at the plate, but gives Middlebrooks a generous score for defense while assigning a deservedly low defense score to Montero (who lacks a defensive position).
A smaller percentage of Mariner fans are counting on Montero than Red Sox fans are counting on Middlebrooks ... perhaps with good reason.
** Offense - Batting and Base Running combined (above average)
*** Defense - Fielding and Positional Adjustment combined (above average)