Re: no "named" closer, right field is a guessing game, the rotation is unstable...WHAT IS BEN DOING?
posted at 12/23/2011 8:15 PM EST
Sorry! Yeah, I meant Scutero not Salty, assuming they added Punto to allow for a trade.
OK, I also think Scutaro is the most likely player to be traded to lower payroll and possibly allow us to improve our staff and still stay below the tax limit. (Youk is another possibility, but I am not sure we'd get equal value in return. However, two playoff teams lost or are about to lose their allstart 1Bmen, so...
As for Papi, he's likely to get $14 in arbitration, so a 3yr average of $10 lowers our 2012 amount by $4 million for him for tax purposes.
I see your point, but I still see it as eating into our winter spending limit by probably costing a little more than $12.5M. If we can reduce it by going 2-3 years, it may help us this year, but what about 2013 and 2014? I think I'd rather see a club option thrown in their to allow us to cut our losses if he declines significantly, maybe something like this:
2012: $12.5M with incentives ($1M easy, 1M hard)
2013: $10M with club buyout of $1.5M
This would actually be a $14M luxury tax hit on 2012, but gives us flexibilty for 2013.
Do you really want Papi as our DH when we start playing more games in NL parks and as he ages?
I also much prefer Bard as closer, but there's no stopping his move to starter now.
I'm not sure it is so set in stone.
It's either Aceves, or we acquire a closer capable reliever.
I think Aceves has the mentality to close, but I'm not sure they'd just hand it to him until after ST.
It's going to be interesting to see what path is chosen. My vote is for a team payroll of not higher than $177.99999999999999999, or at least $210ishfor 2012. If it's $180 or $185 someone's not doing their job.
I certainly understand your point, but if Sox ownership plans on staying very close to the limit for the foreseeable future, then a $17.5% or 50% tax is not that different if we only go over by $1-3M each year.
It does make sense to bring down our rate, so in the future we can go over by a lot if need be, and not get a huge tax hit, but that's assuming someday we will go way over. Maybe the plan is to stay above or below by $1 to 5M always.