posted at 8/4/2012 6:04 AM EDT
How these two players perform for the remainder of this season has implications and consequences not only for them but also for the Sox and for other teams.
For example, if Boston is seriously considering a trade involving Ellsbury, his value would be lessened by a mediocre record. Another club could argue that 2011 was a fluke, or at least not a true indicator of Ellsbury's value, and thus be unwilling to surrender prime beef already in the majors or top-level prospects.
That argument would not work, of course, if Ellsbury gets hot and finishes strong.
But if Ellsbury does not have a resurgence, it would probably be in his interest and in Boston's to keep him on the team at least for the first half of 2013, to hope for much improved performance, and then to make a decision at the trading deadline. At this point, resigning or extending Ellsbury may seem remote, but it cannot be entirely ruled out.
Right now, his slow "start" is complicating things for Boston's chances this year and for his own future, in Boston or elsewhere.
Pedey's situation is mostly but not totally different. It will depend in part on how he and the Sox fare the rest of the way, and, in turn, how that outcome could affect what the FO decides to put on the field in 2013. Pedey is having a troubled and troublesome season in more ways than one, starting apparently in ST, including the injury, a decline in performance ( so far ), and reports of friction between him and BV. Without much more solid information, I hesitate to speculate on how much, if any, substance these reports should be credited. Let's just say for certain that Pedey would be a lot happier if Tito were still the manager. ( I almost said "in charge," but Tito himself said that he ceased being in charge at some point in 2011. ) Pedey's fate in Boston may be ( may be ) connected to BV's and even to Cherrington's if the higher-ups come to believe, for their own reasons, that one or more of this trio should be replaced. If that belief comes to pass, no guesses here on who goes and who stays.
Ellsbury has long been thought "touchable" as a result of treatment in Boston and the assumption that big contracts to Gonzalez and, especially, to CC have put Jacoby financially out of reach.
We'll see. This one is still very much ongoing. See above.
Pedey is still considered "untouchable" by the vast majority of Sox fans, or so I assume. As Danny has pointed out, Pedey was given a pass while Gonzalez was being scalded, perhaps in large part because of the injury but at least in part because he's beloved. However, cracks have begun to show. He was taken to task on this board for his comments about Japan and "how things are done here." ( Some of us remarked that the way things were done resulted in an historic collapse -- and the absence of Pedey's favorite manager and cribbage pal. ) Whether true or not, he's being fingered as the snitch in the latest overblown drama. It's significant that people are openly suspecting him of behavior that they deplore. That's another crack, regardless of the facts. The upshot is that he's gradually becoming "touchable" in ways that would have been unthinkable as recently as last season. He's embroiled in stuff.
Maybe "touchable" only in the minds of some fans ( at least here ), but that's a far cry from the old virtually immaculate reputation. No one knows what the FO thinks at this point. It does not appear to lend any support to BV, at least on the record; but we are not privy to in-house discussions or to what could be a power struggle upstairs.
Should Boston try to move Pedey in the offseason ( the "unthinkable" ), his value, like Ellsbury's, could be reduced unless he turns it on from here on in.
And, yes, it must be said, if he's regarded as a troublemaker or something of a cry-baby or someone who simply does not know his place, AND he has a mediocre season, other GM's may reasonably hesitate to part with high-value pieces in order to obtain him. MLB is a small fraternity -- and a gossip factory.
Things get pinned on people, fairly or unfairly, and they tend to stick.
All that said, for now, c'mon Pedey and Ellsbury. This club needs you to get it going in a big way.