Re: Red Sox lineup this year
posted at 2/12/2012 9:32 PM EST
In Response to Re: Red Sox lineup this year:
Completely agree. Much of Crawford's problem, IMO, was being bounced around the line-up. Hitters are creatures of habit... Yes, and that's why a guy with a career sub 700 OPS vs LHPs should barely even be in the line-up, let along in the top 6 vs lefties.Vs RHP: 1) Ells 2) Ped 3) AGon 4) Papi 5) Youk 6) Salty 7) Sween 8) Ross 9) Aviles/Iggy (if not in AAA) vs LHPs 1) Ells 2) Ped 3) AGon 4) Youk 5) Papi 6) Ross 7) Aviles 8) Shop 9) DMac (LF)They won't platoon him,
Posted by moonslav59
I know they won't. My point is that he should be based on his numbers, and that fact alone should be enough to prove he should not be moved up to the 1-2 or 3 slot vs LHPs.
Interestingly, unitl 2008, Crawford hit LHP pretty well. Then he completely tanked in 2008, and has been slowly improving each year. Just not fast enough.
This is just not true at all. From 2002 to 2007, CC's numbers were:
While this may be good enough for the Rays in those days, it is not even close to being good enough to bat 1-6 in the Sox line-up. Not even close.
Improving on these 2008 numbers should not be made out to be a feather in his cap:
2009: .325/.378/.704 (He just returned to his 2002-2007 OPS exactly)
2010: .312/.384/.696 (This is not an improvement: it is a tend downwards)
2011: .249/.317/.566 (I'm willing to accept this was partially injury-related)
Graphing CC's OBP or OPS by age, it seems clear he peaked in 2007 and has been in almost a steady decline ever since. There is no reason to think he will turn things around at age 30-31. Of course, he could have a spike here or there, or he could even turn it around, but there is absolutely no reason to project he will, and better yet, there is no reason to think he will outperform Jacoby, Pedey, AGon, Youk, Papi, or Ross vs LHPs. I'd even bet he won't outperform Shoppach, Aviles, Salty, DMac, or Lavarnway vs LHPs in 2012 as well.
2011 was a step back in every category for CC, however...
2011 was a continuation of a downward trend in effect since the end of 2007.