Re: Small Ball
posted at 10/16/2013 10:24 PM EDT
In response to andrewmitch's comment:
I am not obssessed with Trumbo.
I am obssessed with contingency plans.
And we need a middle of the order bat for next year.
If you don't like Trumbo, then who would you prefer?; and it needs to be someone who is realistically available.
The thing w/ Trumbo is he would hit 40 HR's w/ 81 games in Fenway, he can play LF or 1B (or DH), he is not expensive/under control, and he is still young and developing. You have to take chance of buying low. If you just go after guys who have proven past records you will end up broke and miserable; see Brian Cashman's new york yankees......
Rest assured once the season ends one way or the other, I will be making numerous posts about the players I feel are solid alternatives. However, if we win it all, minimizing turnover is not necessarily a bad idea.
That said, recommending the status quo is not usually my style, simply because it makes for boring posts. “Hey, let’s do nothing! Discuss!”
As for buying low, etc. it’s really the kind of thing I recommend, the Hidden Gems, as I refer to them. I NEVER recommend going all out for a heavy cost free agent, although I do predict that happens on occasion. From the hidden gems, some will pan out. Some will not. Last off-season, I adamantly recommended Justin Smoak as a buy-low hidden gem. He did not pan out at all. I also recommended Will Venable and Francisco Liriano. They did. I probably bat less than .500, but I will support even the most outrageous suggestions with something I think is plausible.
Trumbo, however, will not be anywhere near my list. First, I question his availability. He might be movable, but the low cost might keep him around. But really, I have two problems with him. First, he isn’t very good. And second, he does not give me any reason to think he will ever get any better. And while age might be on his side, he really is not THAT young. (He will be 28 in January.) Sure Fenway might help him, but let’s not go overboard here. His numbers in Boston are nice, but the sample size is so small no conclusion should be drawn from it.
So, this offseason, I will certainly make some posts about alternatives / other players / buy low candidates. Nothing crazy like “Hey let’s get Mike Trout and Andrew McCutchen!!” that wil clearly never happen. And people will read my thoughts and say “THAT guy? Really?” I will offer my logic and support, and some will say “OK. It makes sense now.” Others will say “THAT guy? Really?”
I do plan on throwing around the phrase “The Next Josh Donaldson” a lot. And I figure many in the media to do so as well. Possibly even more recklessly than I do, but I am up for that challenge.
And either way, Cherington will completely ignore them, and any overlap in names on my list and players he actually acquires will be purely coincidental…