Re: Sox acquire Bailey....
posted at 12/28/2011 7:06 PM EST
However, the trade edges the Red Sox closer to the luxury tax threshold with projected 2012 salaries* of $3.5 million for Andrew Bailey and $1.6 million for Ryan Sweeney.I like the trade for the Red Sox, but I would note that the Sox gave up five years of Reddick and six years each of Miles Head and Raul Alcantara for three years of Andrew Bailey and two years of Ryan Sweeney....
I still find it curious that the Red Sox would trade for a lefthand-hitting outfielder who will bring the club $1 million or so closer to the luxury tax threshold. Perhaps the Sox plan to flip Sweeney in another trade.
I know it's hard to think of Sweeney as a "salary dump" at that cost, but I think that's why the A's traded him as part of the deal. I was surprised they didn't get more, but I guess they view 5 years of Reddick as worthwhile. They may also value Head and Alcantara higher than some of us do.
I do think we may flip Sweeney, but his glove in RF would be nice. His .594 OPS vs LHPs is scary as H3LL, and .754 vs RHPs is nothing to write home about as well. He has had a consistent OBP of between .342 and .350 for 4 straight years. That's not bad for someone that cheap, and may end up being better than Kalish will give us in 2012.
I love this trade. I thought we'd have to give up Middlebrooks or Lava to get Bailey. I hope Head doesn't become the next Bagwell, but we are all set at 1B for many years to come anyways (Yeah, that's what we saidf about bagwell at 3B.)
The salary numbers are close now. The arb rulings or pre-arb signings will put us close to the tax limit, but I think we'll stay below. If we deal Sweeney for a min. wage guy, we should be fine. I'd still like to sign another pitcher or maybe a couple minor league guys in hopes we get some depth, but I fear this might be it folks, expect for a few minor tweeks.
Remember, we now have 8 sure pitchers out of 12 needed:
Beck, Lest, Buch, Bard, Aceves, Bailey, Melan, & Jenks...
But we have seven pitchers (5 out of options) and only 4 slots to fill with ...
Tazawa (2 options left)
Miller (Non-guaranteed contract)
Perhaps we could see a 2 or 3 for 1 deal to get a better pen arm or maybe Sweeney, Albers, Atchison, and Bowden for a better RP and RH'ed RF'er.