posted at 8/28/2013 11:58 PM EDT
I disagree they will fade away just like the billy beane's money ball a's did. The end begins with Price and soon thereafter when Longoria's deal begins to escalate to market value...take either of them away and the Rays are an 85 win team....take both away and they'd struggle to play .500 ball...paying both market value would force the Rays to make some very tough decisions And they be hard pressed to stay below 100M and field a competitive roster.
I disagree. Even if the Rays end up having to trade Longoria and Price when they can't afford them, others will move in to take their place, and the players they receive for those two will take the place of the next Longorias and Prices and on and on...
Didn't we hear these same rumblings after they traded Kazmir? Garza? Shields? After they lost Pena? Soriano? Virtually their whole bullpen some winters?
The limited budget forced the Shields trade, but looking at the deal closely, shows it was a great Rays' trade even if they didn't need to make the deal. Myers is going to be a stud for years and years. They also got a couple other very good prospects that one is likely to help in a year or two and continuing many years beyond.
Price has 2 arb years left. He makes $10.1M this year. He may be dealt this winter or next summer or winter, but it won't be for nothing. True, guys like Cobb, Moore and Archer may not ever become as good as Price was, but nobody thought Archer and Cobb could make losing Shields nearly seemless.
Longoria does not make $11M until 2015. His salary goes up by just about $1M a year until it reaches $15M in 2020, then it jumps to $18.5M and $19.5M in '21 & '22 before going down to $13M in 2023. They may be able to afford him until 2020, but if they trade him somewhere between 205 and 2019, they will probably get some top quailty players with many more years of team control in return.
With a young pitching rotation like the Rays, they will not fade away for at least the near future, but I am guessing much farther beyond as well.
28 Price 2 arb years
24 Moore - signed until 2019 at perhaps the best deal in MLB. (He makes only $5M by 2016)
24 Archer - 5+ years of team control
25 Cobb - 4 years of team control (3 arbs)
26 Hellickson - 3 arbs left
30 Niemann - 1 arb left
Plus... (on 40 man roster or 60-day DL)
21 Rivero, 22 E Romero, 23 Ordorizzi, 23 M Montgomery, 24 Colome
25 Torres, de los Santos, 26 McGee, 26 Beliveau
28 Gomes, 28 Wright, 28 Lueke, 29 Ramos
(Other prospects not listed)