Re: The Moon Rises, Ben Says Moeny is Tight
posted at 12/18/2011 1:06 PM EST
...and that's exactly what Henry did the last few years and all the whining, second guessers are now saying they didn't spend it wisely...in some cases, that is true, but did those same posters (ones who don't think every move the Sox make is a bad move) complain about the Sox spending on players like Dice-K, Lackey, Crawford, etc. etc. when the deals went down?These are likely the same posters whining now that the Sox didn't chase Darvish, Buerhle, Cuddyer, etc. etc.
The other point missed by many posters is that although Henry has opened his wallet in the past, he has always kept the Sox pretty close to the Luxury Tax threshold limit. He appears to view paying a high luxury tax as a waist of resources. NOw, many posters not only expect him to overpay for questionable 2012 free agents, but then on top of that pay a huge tax on their contracts.
Folks, I am not crying poverty here. I know we have been the second highest payroll for years. I know other team's fans must be laughing at some of us Sox fans. Rightfully so. My point has been that we have stayed near the cap, and I predicted we would probably stay near it again for 2012. That's why I "blew the whistle" after the CC signing and AGon extension. I said the "CC contract would cripple us for 7 years", not because I projected poor results from CC. On the contrary, I stated that even if CC had 7 years identical to his career high 2010 season, it was still a $50M overpay. That's basically about $8M a year times 7, if he produces at top form. We are seeing now, how $8M could make a world of difference now, let alone $21M. When posters quoted salries we were losing over the next few years, they failed to account for extensions, large arb raises, and trades for expensive players that were bound to occur after the CC signing.
Again folks, Henry is not being cheap or crying povery. He already spent huge for 2012 and beyong when he extended AGon after the 2011 season started. That was his big 2012 move, that he smartly made a year early. The Buch extension also put a dent into the cap. Doe sanybody think we shouldn't have extended AGon or Buch? Those posters should view those 2 moves as our big 2011-2012 winter moves, even though they happened earlier in the year. Those two raises in average anual salary (plus bonus) that count towards the luxury tax limit ate up all of the JD Drew contract lost and then some.
There are some differences in opinion over exactly how much we can spend this winter and season without going over the Luxury Limit (or at least not by much), but after we sign all our arb players, there really is not much left over for luxuries like Beltran or any other position player with a high salary. The money should be spent on upgrading our staff. I am not assuming that Beckett, Lester, and Buch are all going to get 33 starts and be strong starters all year, but even if they do, we can not win it all with what we have right now, unless some very unexpected thigs happen. I'm not betting on Jenks to be a great closer, or Bard and Aceves to win 15-16 games each, or for Douby or Taz to break out, or Albers, Atchison, Morales, and Bowden to provide excellent set-up work. Almost every cent should be spent on the staff. To me, even the relatively low cost signings like Shoppach and Punto were questionable. We could have saved almost $2M for the satff by using Lava and Iggy instead. I'm not saying the deals were bad, and $2M doesn't get you much in terms of good pitching, but adding $2M to what we are already planning on spending on staff upgrades could be significant.
Let's see what happens over the next few days and weeks, but please don't say Henry (or Ben) has not spent enough on upgrading our team.