Re: The next player Ben needs to sign is Shaun Marcum
posted at 11/25/2012 5:53 PM EST
Reading other threads, a lot of people are getting on the Shaun Marcum bandwagon. For those that want Shaun Marcum, I think its important to point out he has some arm issues. He is a major soft tosser. He has been gradually getting worse. He was bad when coming back from injury late last year. He has never been all that good. And he isn't young.
Lets begin with the health. He went down last year with "elbow tightness". He missed 10 weeks with that injury. When he returned the last 6 weeks, he wasn't good including a 1.464 WHIP. This is a huge red flag.
Does anybody know how slow Marcum's fastball is? His career fastball average velocity is 87.0 mph. Last year it was 86.3 mph. And after returning from elbow issues, it averaged less then 86 mph. The worst of his career.
His K/BB, WHIP, WAR, and xFIP have all gotten gradually worse the last 3 seasons.
Unless you think his elbow is going to get a lot better this year, he is not a guy to go after. Even if you do, its a gamble on a long term deal of more then 1 year.
There are lots of better and smarter alternatives. Marcum has only a pretty good upside to go along with a huge downside. His upside might not even be good enough to be afraid the best Marcum can provide might still block Barnes-Webster-DeLaRosa long term. He has had only 1 season with a WAR above 3 for example. And if you are going to gamble, I suggest Dan Haren is a better bet.
This bandwagon is slow, has a bad wheel, is getting rusty, and was never that good.