Re: Victorino at leadoff?
posted at 5/13/2013 10:18 AM EDT
In response to moonslav59's comment:
In response to RedSoxKimmi's comment:
In response to Hfxsoxnut's comment:
So what is the best lineup configuration?
Here is a link that I've posted before with a pretty good synopsis of the findings from The Book:
Another study suggested setting a line up in order of descending OBP. Different studies vary slightly in what constitutes the optimal line up, but the main factor in setting lineups is OBP.
The general consensus among the geeks is that managers are not correct in their traditonal thinking when making out a line up card, but that regardless, line up changes make very little difference.
This quote from the article sums it up nicely: "Finally, stop talking like the lineup is a make-or-break decision."
Good read. I have always been for putting the best OBP guys up 1-2-3, even if it meant juggling the line-up vs RHPs and LHPs or against particular pitchers. The high OBP guys with power should bat 4-5 and 3 (in that order) in my opinion.
This is one reason I have advocated batting Nava 9vs RHPs) and Gomes (vs LHPs) up 2nd. Pedey and Papi 3/4 and Naps 5. Shane should bat 1st until Jacoby gets his act together, or until SV starts struggling vs RHPs as he probably will eventually.
I'm not sure Ells will come around moon. I'm thinking we should move him to the eighth slot and leave him there. If he starts hitting why put the pressure back on him to lead off off? Ells has never been a great lead off guy, he can't even lay down a bunt. In 2011 Ells was getting a lot of inside pitches he could pull for HR's, and extra base hits, thats not happening anymore. Ells needs to find ways/utilize his speed more to reach base and hit to the opposite field, or he may never improve.
A guy like Victorino has the mindset, just enough enough speed and talent. He can lay down a bunt with the best of them and adapt to different situations better than Jacoby.